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Courtney Saaf

Financial Advice for the Grad in Your Life

Graduation season is here, and it’s likely you’ve been to (or even hosted) a grad party or two. Whatever your relation to the graduate – parent, grandparent, or close family friend – it’s always a heartwarming moment to watch a young adult finish college. Naturally, it offers us the opportunity to reflect on our own youth, our graduations, and the start of our careers. Grad season reminds us of how far we’ve all come in our journeys.

Post-grad life is a step into the “real” world and while every generation hits the mean streets sooner or later, this year’s grads might face a hard place to launch. High prices, rising interest rates, a shaky job market, and global uncertainty are all working together to make it a difficult atmosphere for new grads to get their footing. More than that, the average public university graduate leaves school with around $33,000 in student loan debt – and often even more.

If starting out financially “underwater” wasn’t enough, many grads will be managing their money on their own for the first time. Suffice to say, it can be an overwhelming financial period in one’s life. While we don’t advise that you barge in and give the grad in your life a real talking-to about all things financial, we do want to offer a few tidbits that you could pass on to a young person entering the world – a little sage advice from financial experts, spoken through a trusted adult on the other side of their career journey. 

Here are a few non-overbearing, actually-helpful things you might thoughtfully convey to the younger generation this grad season.

1. Spend with Purpose

When new grads do eventually land that first post-grad job, their eyes are going to pop when payday comes along! But simply having money doesn’t mean they’ll have the tools to manage it well. Encourage them to envision a realistic budget for themselves that covers their essentials, savings goals, and a little fun. It’s a good opportunity to share any zany or useful money-saving tips you found helpful when you were starting out. It’s important to stay financially grounded as you start to build habits for the future.

2. Save Something – Anything – Now

It’s hard to save when you’re just starting out, but the habit matters more than the amount. If you can develop the reflex of taking a part of a paycheck and putting it in a safe account separate from what you spend out of, that can be really helpful! Suggest that your grad set aside even a small amount each month – maybe even $50 – toward an emergency fund. Having a few months of expenses saved can be a real lifeline if they face a job change, a sudden car repair, or a doctor’s visit.

3. Start Investing – Even If It’s Small

One of the best gifts you can give a new grad is an understanding of compound interest. As boring as it sounds, the earlier they start investing, the more their money can grow – even with minimal contributions.

Workplace retirement plans (like a 401(k)) are a great way to get rolling on investments. Encourage them to simply contribute to the level their employer matches, if offered. If not, helping them open a Roth IRA or traditional IRA now could make a huge difference in a few decades. You might even consider a small financial gift to get their first investment account going and pair it with a little note about long-term financial goals.

4. Protect Their Credit (and Their Future)

Credit cards are not typically taught about in school and they are rarely as straightforward as they seem. Remind your grad that money mistakes involving credit can follow them for years. A missed payment here or a maxed-out credit card there may not seem like much but it can hurt their insurance premiums, ability to rent, and even their employment opportunities, depending on the field, to name just a few. Helping them ask the right questions about credit can guide them in the right direction as they work toward a healthy financial future.

Today’s grads are facing real financial challenges in this market, but with a good head on their shoulders and a few smart moves in their back pocket, they’ll be a-okay. They also have time, energy, and curiosity on their side!

As someone nearing retirement, you’ve likely learned many of these lessons firsthand, either from the guidance of a loved one or from mistakes you made along the way. One of the greatest financial gifts you can offer a new graduate isn’t the check in your congratulations card – it’s perspective.

For more financial advice for all-ages, stay connected with Secured Retirement.

The Power of “To”

Summer is here. The world is green and the birds are singing! I’m looking forward to getting outside, gathering ‘round the grill, and reconnecting with friends again, as I’m sure many of you are, too.

As we all step into the summer social scene, it’s quite possible that the conversation will turn to retirement – what you’re most dreaming of, what you’re worried about, and how it’s all going to work out. These conversations are natural and the sort of thing we hear all the time at Secured Retirement.

Oftentimes, people are asked what they are retiring from. And that makes sense, it’s polite conversation when you meet someone new – What do you do for work? What was your career like? Questions about how you spend your time.

But what if we flipped the question? What if we asked instead: What are you retiring to? That small shift in language can unlock a big shift in perspective. It’s what I like to call The Power of “To.”

It looks at retirement not as an escape from something but as a window to a new chapter in a beautiful story. Retirement affords a new rhythm to life filled with purpose, curiosity and joy.

So many people spend their years counting all the things they won’t have to do anymore once they retire. And sure, there’s comfort in leaving some things behind. But don’t forget to think about what you want to do more of. Because what comes next should be exciting.

I can help you prepare financially for retirement. But only you can decide how you’ll invest your most precious asset – your time. What will your retired days look like? What is gonna give you purpose and structure your life?

This summer, while you’re kicking back at the lake and daydreaming about retirement, try asking, “What am I retiring to?” instead of just what you’re retiring from.

The answers might just surprise and inspire you!

Cup of Joe

CUP OF JOE

From Joe Lucey, Founder of Secured Retirement

There’s something about sitting down with a steaming cup of coffee that always kicks my day into high gear. And it’s not just because of the caffeine it sends coursing through my veins.

Throughout my career, some of my biggest revelations have come to me in conversation with my mentor over a cup of joe. Good conversation and personal connection can pick you up in a special way. It’s that feeling that I’m hoping to bring to you with my series, your Cup of Joe.

The Biggest Risk to Your Retirement – and How to Protect Yourself

Now, this isn’t the most fun game to play, but if you had to guess what the biggest risk you’ll face in retirement was, what would you say? Maybe you’d guess healthcare costs or higher taxes. Perhaps you think the biggest risk you’re concerned about is Social Security. 

But none of those are the largest risk you’ll face. The biggest risk to your retirement is called sequence of returns risk – and it can have a devastating impact on your retirement savings.

What Is Sequence of Returns Risk?

So, what is the sequence of returns risk, anyway? Sequence of returns risk refers to the danger of retiring during a stock market downturn. If the stock market is falling during the first few years of your retirement, the combination of stock market losses and the need to withdraw money to pay for retirement could deplete your nest egg. And unfortunately, even if the market eventually recovers, your portfolio may not have time to bounce back.

Without the right strategy, it’s possible you could find yourself selling investments at a loss just to cover your living expenses.

The Challenge of Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs)

Once you reach a certain age, the government requires you to start withdrawing from your tax-deferred retirement accounts. These required minimum distributions (RMDs) force you to sell investments regardless of market conditions. If your portfolio is down when this happens, those losses become locked in, and you lose the opportunity to recover.

One way to minimize the impact of RMDs is to develop a proactive withdrawal strategy before you reach retirement age. Planning ahead can help you avoid unnecessary tax burdens and market-driven losses.

The Problem With Relying on Simple Withdrawal Rules

Many retirees have been told to follow the 4% rule, which suggests withdrawing 4% of their portfolio annually to ensure their savings last. However, this rule doesn’t account for market fluctuations. In years when the market is down, withdrawing at a fixed rate could accelerate the depletion of your funds.

A better approach is to remain flexible with withdrawals. During market downturns, withdrawing less can help your savings last longer, while in strong years, you may be able to withdraw a little more. Having a diversified withdrawal strategy is key to making your money last.

How to Protect Yourself

The good news is that you have more control over your retirement security than you might think. Here are a few strategies to help safeguard your savings:

  1. Rebalance Your Portfolio: Many people set up their retirement investments and then forget about them. Over time, market shifts can create imbalances, increasing your risk exposure. Regularly reviewing and adjusting your investment mix can help ensure you’re prepared for different market conditions.
  2. Consider a Roth Conversion: Unlike traditional IRAs and 401(k)s, Roth accounts allow tax-free withdrawals in retirement and aren’t subject to RMDs. Converting some of your savings to a Roth IRA could provide greater flexibility and reduce the impact of sequence risk.
  3. Diversify Your Income Streams: Relying on a single income source in retirement can be risky. A well-rounded plan might include Social Security, annuities, bond ladders, dividend-paying stocks, and other income-generating assets. The goal is to have multiple sources of reliable cash flow so you’re not entirely dependent on the stock market.
  4. Use Buffer Assets: Holding a cash reserve or other stable assets can help you avoid selling investments at a loss during downturns. Having a few years’ worth of living expenses in safer accounts can give your portfolio time to recover.

Build A Strategy That Prevails

A successful retirement isn’t just about how much you’ve saved—it’s about taking steps to turn your savings into sustainable income. By planning ahead, diversifying your income sources, and staying flexible with withdrawals, you can build a retirement strategy that withstands market fluctuations and gives you the confidence to enjoy your golden years.

Want to ensure your retirement plan is built to last? Let’s talk about how you can secure your financial future today 952-460-3290.

Staying The Course In Uncertain Times

It goes without saying that the market is constantly fluctuating but changing trade policies and shifting economic data are fueling increased uncertainty. History shows that markets have weathered similar storms before – and even come out stronger. In this update, we break down the latest trade impacts, employment data, inflation trends, and what they all mean for your financial future.

Market Volatility Amid Tariff Uncertainty

Markets took a hit earlier this month as President Donald Trump’s tariffs went into effect – only to be delayed once again. This ongoing uncertainty has led to what’s been called a “tariff tantrum,” reminiscent of the “taper tantrum” in 2013, when markets panicked over the Federal Reserve’s decision to slow quantitative easing. But here’s what you should know: The S&P 500 has gained 4,000 points since 2013. Simply put, markets dislike change, and the past two years have been spectacular with little volatility. We’re now experiencing a correction as investors process trade developments in real time.

Trade Impact on GDP and Key Industries

Exports account for roughly 10% of American Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and recent shifts in trade policy have made a noticeable impact. A rush of imports in December altered the trade balance, contributing to a weaker GDP forecast for the first quarter. Industries such as agriculture and automotive could be hit hardest by tariffs. Too this month, markets reacted over the threat of 50% tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum – double the previous 25% rate. While this increase didn’t materialize, the uncertainty surrounding trade policy creates volatility. Beyond targeting individual sectors there is heavy retaliation to tariffs imposed by would be trading partners.

Employment Data and Interest Rate Outlook

The latest jobs data also signals potential headwinds. The ADP report showed that only 77,000 new jobs were added in February, significantly below the expected 162,000. The non-farms payroll report was better but still missed the forecast. And unemployment ticked up slightly to 4.1%.

These jobs numbers, weaker GDP,  inflation, and weak consumer sentiment, have led to calls for three to four rate cuts this year instead of one to two. However, once the tariff situation stabilizes and markets regain their footing, the Fed is likely to refocus on inflation and maintain a measured approach to rate cuts. At the Federal Open Market Committee meeting the number of members who believe more than two cuts would be appropriate fell while the number of members who think less than two cuts are appropriate doubled.

Inflation Trends and Consumer Confidence

Inflation data offers a mixed picture. February’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed only a small increase, and over the past 12 months, the CPI has cooled from 3% to 2.8%. Meanwhile, the core inflation reading declined from 3.3% to 3.1%, the lowest since April 2021. While inflation remains elevated, it’s moving in the right direction toward the Fed’s 2% target for now, not knowing how much tariffs will affect companies and the consumer.

Consumer confidence and labor shortages will be key factors to watch in the coming months. Modest improvements in government efficiency, declining interest rates, and lower energy costs will (hopefully) help markets perform better.

Staying the Course in Uncertain Times

With a lack of extended volatility over the last couple of years, a downturn now isn’t completely unexpected. The important thing is to remain patient and ask yourself, “Will markets be lower two or three years from now?” Staying focused on long-term goals and avoiding reactionary decisions will be critical in navigating the current market. If you have questions on your portfolio, don’t hesitate to reach out: 952-460-3290.

Jacob McCue

Investment Strategist/Advisor
Secured Retirement

Upsets Happen – Make Sure Your Retirement Plan is Ready

Well, have you made your bracket yet? It’s March, after all! Around the office, we always enjoy following the March Madness tournament. And we’ve been known to put a little money on the games as well – “little” being the operative word. It’s part of the fun!

With a junior in high school applying to colleges and developing post-secondary plans, I’m looking at the tournament a little differently this year. I want his top-choice schools to do well! My Cinderella favorite is High Point University out of North Carolina. It’s their first time ever in tourney and while they’re seeded 13th, I’m rooting for them. 

Historically, the odds of a 13th seed upsetting their first-round opponent – 4th-seeded Purdue in this case – are low but not impossible. If by some miracle they were to take the whole tourney, I have no doubt I would win any NCAA pool out there, but statistically, the odds are way against me. Some of the other schools my son is considering (Kansas, Tennessee) have slim-yet-better chances.

However, the thrill of following the tournament is that no one really knows how it’s going to go. Never before in its more than 80 years has there ever been a perfect bracket. The odds of picking all the winners correctly are astronomical. 

This has a way of balancing the playing field across bracket-makers. Even if you don’t know a single thing about basketball and are choosing your winners based on which team colors you like more, you might still come out ahead in your office pool.

Experts analyze stats, odds are set, and predictions are made but upsets always happen. Some underdog team you’ve never heard of will manage to pull off the impossible and knock out a top seed.

March Madness reminds us that anything can happen. And just like an underdog can shake up the tournament, unexpected changes can throw off your financial future. You don’t want market volatility, economic downturns, or tax changes throwing your future off course. The best game plan is one that holds up no matter what – no matter what the economy is doing, no matter what the housing market looks like, no matter where life takes you. 

At Secured Retirement, our playbook is designed to keep you winning. Our approach has always focused on balancing the pillars of wealth management – income and investment strategy, taxes and charitable planning, healthcare and legacy – to protect you from vulnerabilities and keep you on track.

Because when it comes to your retirement, you don’t want to leave anything to chance. A solid financial strategy ensures you’re prepared for whatever comes your way.

So while your bracket may be busted by the Sweet 16, your retirement plan shouldn’t be. Let’s make sure you have a winning strategy. Call us: 952-460-3290

Cup of Joe

CUP OF JOE

From Joe Lucey, Founder of Secured Retirement

There’s something about sitting down with a steaming cup of coffee that always kicks my day into high gear. And it’s not just because of the caffeine it sends coursing through my veins.

Throughout my career, some of my biggest revelations have come to me in conversation with my mentor over a cup of joe. Good conversation and personal connection can pick you up in a special way. It’s that feeling that I’m hoping to bring to you with my series, your Cup of Joe.

The Market’s Ride into 2025 – The Latest Forecast

Jake McCue here! I’m pleased to be contributing to Secured Retirement’s Market Forecasts and I couldn’t be happier to work with this esteemed group of professionals. I’m an Investment Strategist, Financial Advisor, CFA Charterholder, and Certified Financial Planner who’s been in the business for more than 10 years. I look forward to bringing you these updates so that you can stay informed, and understand what we’re following and what it could mean for your financial future. We want to provide insights that offer peace of mind – so you can get back to enjoying life. If you’re interested in digging into the details, my door is open to those who nerd out on this stuff. Without further ado, here’s my update on the current market. 

The Labor Market

As you may have heard, The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is making waves at federal agencies with layoffs and budget cuts. Ultimately, the workforce reduction at federal agencies accounts for a small fraction of the overall workforce – something like 2%, per nonfarm payroll data. The labor market, along with inflation, remains an important component in Federal Reserve decision-making. At the January 29th press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the labor market as “stable” and “broadly in balance.”

It’s worth remembering that last year’s biggest rate cut followed a surprise uptick in unemployment data. If we see headcount reduction without other hiring – also known as market softness – that could move the needle and push the Fed to act this year, the Chairman explained. Meanwhile, the Core Personal Consumption Index is holding steady at 3.3%, a January 12-month increase, reinforcing the Fed’s current wait-and-see approach on rate cuts.

Earnings

Fourth-quarter earnings in 2024 surpassed estimates and, as of mid-February, investors witnessed year-over-year growth at levels not seen in years. With 70% of S&P 500 companies reporting, sectors like Communication Services and Financials are among the leading sectors, delivering earnings that surprise at above the ten-year average. Earnings growth has been broad, spanning nine of eleven sectors, though Industrials and Materials have seen revenue declines.

While this earnings season has been strong, we see valuations running high – forward price-to-earnings ratios sit above both five- and ten-year averages. The blend of actual and still-to-report estimates is quite strong for the quarter, but with no immediate support from the Fed and potential hurdles with earnings on the horizon, the next few quarters may bring new challenges.

Market Momentum

The S&P 500 has been trading in a narrow range over the last few months in what technical analysts call a “flag” pattern. A setup that often precedes a bull market breaking out through recent highs. However, momentum has been weak, with less than 60% of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving average. We’re also watching small-cap stocks for signs of broader participation in the rally, but so far, they haven’t outperformed.

Administration Policy & Tariffs

With Donald Trump officially back in office, we’ve already seen a flurry of executive actions that will surely shape policy for years to come. One current unknown is the effect the administration’s stance on tariffs and international trade will have on markets. Their current position, threats, and delays to enacting tariffs all play into tactics that will flow to companies and ultimately, to the consumer.

During Trump’s first term, steel and aluminum tariffs had a limited economic impact, but broader protectionist policies, like securing control of the Panama Canal and key global trade routes, could reshape supply chains and set up wider advantage for goods from China, for instance. The trade deficit surged 25% in December over the previous month as companies rushed to stockpile inventory. GDP growth is still increasing over 2% annually.

At the AI Action Summit in Paris, Vice President JD Vance emphasized the administration’s focus on ensuring the most powerful AI systems are built in the U.S. with domestically designed and manufactured chips. These chips are the processors in much of our personal technology, like cell phones and laptops. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) currently dominates the market for advanced chips, and rather than imposing tariffs, the administration may explore partnerships to strengthen domestic manufacturing, potentially involving firms like Intel. In fact, Intel just had its best trading week in 25 years, despite lagging the S&P 500 over the past year.

With regulatory and policy dynamics at play, the evolving trade and technology markets will be key to watch.

Final Thoughts

I look forward to getting to know our clients in the years to come.  What we do at Secured Retirement is always meant to be a benefit to your lifestyle, comfort, and happiness.  The families we serve are everything to us. Please chime in with your own thoughts when these topics resonate. We’re just a phone call away: 952-460-3290. All the best.

Jacob McCue

Investment Strategist/Advisor
Secured Retirement

Danielle Christensen

Paraplanner

Danielle is dedicated to serving clients to achieve their retirement goals. As a Paraplanner, Danielle helps the advisors with the administrative side of preparing and documenting meetings. She is a graduate of the College of St. Benedict, with a degree in Business Administration and began working with Secured Retirement in May of 2023.

Danielle is a lifelong Minnesotan and currently resides in Farmington with her boyfriend and their senior rescue pittie/American Bulldog mix, Tukka.  In her free time, Danielle enjoys attending concerts and traveling. She is also an avid fan of the Minnesota Wild and loves to be at as many games as possible during the season!